[FOREX] Now that the RUB is high, should I invest them in the EUR/RUB?
Hey guys. I am new to trading, and one thing that fascinates me the most is how Currencies fluctuate easily depending on the current situation of each country, diplomacy between each country, etc. Right now, Byelorrusia is the most spoken country in the news, and with Russia supporting the elected Lukashenko, the Russian Ruble went up as the Western Countries are against Lukashenko. What was normally 70-80 Rubles, now is at 89 Rubles. But, with the ease of tensions and with the possible Success of the Russian Vaccine against the Coronavirus, the Russian Ruble will certainly gain value. With this information, is it worthy to invest in the EURUB Forex? What is your opinion? EDIT: The Title should be: Now that the RUB is high, should I invest in the EURUB? Don't know why I put the them in there :P
Is there a way to buy options on forex exchanges or something similar, to avoid risks?
So i'm about to recieve decent amount of money in Russian Rubles in 2 months and with coronavirus uncertainity i want to make myself safe. Is there a way to do it? I have leveraged account in forex, but my broker doesn't allow trading USDRUR
I think this is the sector that that has the biggest opportunities for the first half of 2016. There are some interesting events unfolding and I'm trying to figure out how to get positioned.
Iran surrendered its nuclear material to lift the sanctions on it going into the oil trade. The moment the are lifted they're expected to add 500k bpd to world supply with the majority heading to China/India (link)
Russia is building oil rigs for Iran in the Persian Gulf (link) and delivering weapons systems to them (link)
Russia and Iran agreed to conduct their trade using the Ruble & Rial instead of the dollapetrodollar system... this hasn't typical gone well for those attempting to ditch this system but I don't know how it will play out. Maybe a FOREX play... (link)
The US lifted the export ban on oil with the first tanker setting sail yesterday. $COP was the first one there selling the oil to Vitol with another being filled at the moment. $COP also pulled out of Russia selling its portion of a large plant they operated there. The ban was originally put in place in the 70's to combat the fuel shortage/gas lines at the time. (link)
Russia named the US among threats to its national security (link)
A gigantic portion of the Russian GDP depends on oil/gas exports (link)
Russia is bombing the snot out of ISIS oil trucks but I can't find a reliable figure on the quantity this represents (link)
My guess is all parties involved need to continuing to drill baby drill
I'm thinking a good play would be $EPD as they have the pipeline system for shipping WTI to the coast for shipping. The bad news is it's a MLP which makes taxes a bitch. It does pay a hefty dividend as a passthrough but again it's a bitch during tax time. It's taking a beating this year and is at a good buying level. Another option could be $ETE which should also far more upside but again, it's an MLP. $KMI may be the better option as a former MLP now traded like a normal corp. I've got a friend who is an analyst who says stay away from $KMI but fuck him. The shale producers are in a tough spot but it leaves an opportunity for some consolidation in the sector with the good ones being acquired. High debt, low availably of credit and low oil prices are bad news for these guys. Shale producers need $40-$50 a barrel to pay the high-yield bonds they used for financing. $COP may be a good pickup given the news above as well. Step 1: Collect the information Step2: ??? <--- We are here Step 3: Profit Open forum time, where do you think the best opportunities are in the sector moving forward? As is tradition EDIT: We've also had contango going on in oil the the majority of the year, something has to give. Signs seem to point to lower which make some think it'll go higher... Oil price is based on supply/demand & market sentiment... a few headlines here and there could set prices on the rebound
The main events of the week: MasterCard and VISA impose restrictions on Forex cards, cryptocurrencies and ICO. See our report for other useful updates.
We present to you the report filed by the analysts of our closed club for October 15–22. Main market events 1) One of the world’s largest asset management companies, Fidelity Investments, announced the launch of a Bitcoin and Ethereum trading platform for institutional investors in early 2019. 2) MasterCard and VISA are imposing restrictions on card payments in underregulated and risky companies from such areas as Forex, binary options, cryptocurrency and ICO. MasterCard promised to do it next Monday, VISA — in December. 3) Users who lost their funds when a Singapore-based WEX exchange disabled the withdrawals decided to team up to take up the matter with the Russian police. 4) Barclays Investment Bank froze the launch of its crypto-trading project. The reason for that was not disclosed. 5) Sony will develop a blockchain for its written data copyright management system. 6) A new version of the Parity Signer app has been released, which allows turning old phones into crypto-wallets. It can also double as a security system on MyCrypto platform and MyCrypto wallet. 7) In Tolyatti, at the AvtoVAZ enterprise, a cryptocurrency mining farm was discovered. Since 2017, the farm has stolen 600,000 rubles worth of electricity from the enterprise, and mined over 1.2 million rubles worth of bitcoins. 8) By the end of the fall, the blockchain platform Telegram Open Network (TON) will be launched in test mode. The development of protocols, the mechanism of smart contracts and the TON blockchain network is almost complete. 9) Bithumb has officially opened a decentralized exchange. Until October 15, users will get a chance to run fee-free transactions and participate in the airdrop. Also, 1,000 most active traders will receive 500 ETH from Bithumb. 10) A New Zealand developer managed to send Bitcoin 12 kilometers away using four goTenna devices and a $30 Android phone without Internet connection, cellular communication or electricity. 11) Bitcoin Core developer Jimmy Song claims that EOS is a scam, and Ethereum is an amateur project. He is very enthusiastic about Bitcoin though. 12) Crypto enthusiasts caught American Express promoting articles criticizing Bitcoin. The American financial company that issues credit and payment cards, as well as traveler’s cheques, promoted a Twitter post of a Bloomberg TicToc news account with the title “The crypto industry is using more energy than all the world’s electric vehicles”. 13) Chief strategic officer of Ripple Cory Johnson claims that the administration of US President Donald Trump is concerned that China is a world leader in mining of cryptocurrency. 14) The head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation Elvira Nabiullina stated that Russia has started forming a sound attitude to cryptocurrency. 15) On November 5, the USA will auction 660 BTC, which were seized by law enforcement agencies earlier. Market analysis from club experts for October 15–22, 2018 The last week proved to be really good for many holders, despite the fact that BTC failed to grow over the week. Though Monday was surprising with its USDT rally. However, the things evened out later and no turmoil was observed over the week. After a huge $17 billion fall on Monday, the total capitalization climbed back to its usual level of $209–211 billion by Monday evening, where it remained until the end of the week. Monday’s trading volumes doubled due to active exchange of altcoins and the BTC, and then things got stable again: $22 billion on Monday, $10–12 billion by the end. BTC dominated the market at 54% mark, a shift in the share would mean a change in the interests of traders, but this has not been the case so far. Price for 1 BTC grew from $6,300 to $6,800 (on some exchanges, the price reached $7,860) in a matter of hours, then bounced back to $6,450- $6,550 and remained around that mark until the end of the week ($6,515 at the time of the report). This spike in the BTC price was due to a well-planned campaign against the USDT. Persistent rumors about Bitfinex issues, idle wallets due to kernel updates, fake Tweet from Binance — all this resulted in short-sighted holders rushing to change USDT to BTC at any price — that of course just happened to skyrocket. If you are a trader, cool head and lack of emotion shall be your default state. If you are a long-term investor, stick with BTC and reliable altcoins. Second-guessing is not a good idea now! The silver lining is almost there! TOP-3 growing coins from the long-term portfolio for October 15–22, 2018 (including portfolio updates) The fastest-growing coins for the last week: BAT + 52% (updates and rumors), Mysterium MYST + 34% (high-quality updates), Elastic XEL + 30% (major updates). Changes in the cost and capitalization of the TOP-10 cryptocurrencies in October 15–22, 2018. https://preview.redd.it/2cbxps7ifxt11.jpg?width=672&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=26028002053247229513d5be7ce0b94d63d5bd0c Do you want to be the first to receive updates and trade signals? 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Venezuela's Maduro says will shun U.S. dollar in favor of yuan, others
This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 60%. (I'm a bot)
CARACAS - Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro said on Thursday his cash-strapped country would seek to "Free" itself from the U.S. dollar next week, using the weakest of two official foreign exchange regimes and a basket of currencies. Maduro was refering to Venezuela's "DICOM" official exchange rate in which the dollar buys 3,345 bolivars, according to the central bank. At the strongest official rate, one dollar buys just 10 bolivars, but on the black market the dollar fetches 20,193 bolivars, a spread versus the official rate that economists say has fostered corruption. A thousand dollars of local currency bought when Maduro came to power in 2013 would now be worth $1.20. "Venezuela is going to implement a new system of international payments and will create a basket of currencies to free us from the dollar," Maduro said in an hours-long address to a new legislative superbody, without providing details of the new mechanism. "If they pursue us with the dollar, we'll use the Russian ruble, the yuan, yen, the Indian rupee, the euro," Maduro said.
Elite Dangerous Still On Sale For £23/€32/$35 Direct From Frontier, Temporarily...
https://www.frontierstore.net/rub/games/elite-dangerous-cat/elite-dangerous.html While FDev have corrected the currency conversion for Horizons pre-orders, ED is still cheaper by buying with Rubles. You can select the Russian currency at the top of the store page - next to language. RUB2,250 converts to £23/€32/$35. Just ensure language in Store is set to English (or your preferred) to avoid localisation confusion. Do the same in the Game Launcher when it's installed. If buying with a credit/debit card, your bank will charge a forex fee of 2-3%; Paypal forex is free. Once you have the game, you can generate a Steam key from your Frontier account if you want one.
Help: Finding free historical data for Russian Ruble to USD(or EUR) exchange rates
I've been on the hunt for historical data, closing prices for every day if possible, for the Russian Rubles to either USD or Euro. So far no luck, every site that shows potential has been charging or it's been insufficient data. If anyone know of a good forex database I would appreciate it a lot. I'm trying to find the data so that I can work out some covariances and trends, trying to spot hedges against a falling Ruble. Thanks in advance.
Adapted from my blog. Original post May 2, 2014. One of the biggest advantages of trading forex is that global political events often turn themselves into excellent market opportunities. Take, for instance, the turmoil in Ukraine. As the instability in that region grows, and capital flows out of Russia seeking safer havens, such opportunities are on the horizon. If you’re not familiar with what has been happening there, here’s a brief rundown of the past few months. Putin Outplays the West February 22nd- Ukranian President Viktor Yanyukovich is removed from office and flees the country. March 21st- Following weeks of protests for secession, Russia annexes the ethnically Russian Ukranian region of Crimea. The US immediately sanctions several prominent Russian politicians and business leaders. April 4th(ish)- Russia masses 40,000 troops on Ukraine’s Eastern border. April 25th- Russia raises the ruble’s interest rate to 7.5%. May 2nd- Ukrainian army forces clash with pro-Russian separatists in the Eastern cities of Odessa and Slovyansk. What Happens Next? Amid all the sabre-rattling and mindless media coverage, one can discern a pattern to Russia’s behavior in Ukraine that has been used recently in other conflicts. In 2008, Russia invaded Georgia and all but annexed the regions of Abkhazia and South Ossettia. Putin then employed a similar strategy of fostering political unrest before invading the region to ‘liberate’ ethnic Russian populations, and repeated the process in Crimea. It stands to reason he will do so again in Ukraine’s industrial, and Russian speaking east. This is assuming Putin doesn’t fear the threat of economically damaging and sweeping sanctions from the West. After all, Russia’s largest exports – oil and natural gas – have willing buyers in India and China, if not Eastern Europe. Putin has been in power for 14 years in Russia – long enough to turn his gaze beyond domestic squabbling and toward a more global stage, and the short term pain these sanctions would cause may not be enough to deter his advance. So Where Is the Trade? There are two outcomes I see as likely. Both offer excellent trades in the near future. 1) Russia invades Ukraine, or continues to support pro-separatist rebels in the east. This prompts expansive Western sanctions on May 25th and the ruble continues its decline. Investors will flock to more stable, high-yielding currencies like the NZD and to a lesser extent the TRY (whose issues will pale in comparison to the ruble), providing extended carry-trade opportunities for speculators. 2) Russia somehow avoids Western sanctions and looks to attract foreign investment once more with the ruble’s tasty 7.5% interest rate. Short USD/RUB will become an attractive mid-term trade as the ruble bounces back from its long decline of early this year. Either way, opportunity is on the horizon! We will certainly be keeping an eye on the events in Ukraine to determine where best to invest our capital, and will keep you updated on the blog and twitter as the situation unfolds. Agree with my analysis? Disagree? Let's hear it, forex!
http://www.barchart.com/quotes/forex/US_DollaRussian_Ruble/%5EUSDRUB The Ruble has been getting hammered lately, because of escalating tensions between western world and Russia, and is now at the lowest level on record I believe. However I believe the Ruble is fairly strong as Russia becoming an emerging global leader, and signing direct contracts with China bypassing the dollar completely. sentiment: Bullish - I think the Ruble is backed by a fiscally strong Russia
I don't normally trade anything on the forex. I like to keep my cash in USD and just take profit in CAD when it spikes to 1.11 CAD to the dollar. I was up late last night and noticed the rouble is taking a huge hit due to the recent developments in Crimea and Ukraine. Usually the media hypes up a situation more than it deserves, but the Russian market took a 7-8% hit, showing that there is real fear to the economic sanctions leveraged by the west. I think that a bet against the ruble (USD.RUB) is a relatively safe one. The current interest rate in Russia is at 7%, which was raised from 5.5%. This should have promoted a stronger currency but may have only slowed down inflation. This is a country that has gone bankrupt and defaulted on its debts. Overall this situation is bringing down global markets, but I can only guess at the scope and spread of the overall damage and fear. The best I can do is keep doing what I am doing in equities and try to profit off of Russia.
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